吉首大学学报(社会科学版)

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直接融资、空间溢出与农业现代化——基于省际数据的实证分析

宋坤,林佳,柳晓倩   

  1. (四川农业大学 经济学院,四川 成都 611130)
  • 出版日期:2018-01-01 发布日期:2018-01-06
  • 作者简介:宋坤,女,博士,四川农业大学经济学院讲师。
  • 基金资助:
    四川省教育厅重点项目(16SA0009)

Study on Direct Financing,Spatial Spillover and Agricultural Modernization——Empirical Analysis Based on Interprovincial Data

SONG Kun,LIN Jia,LIU Xiaoqian   

  1. (College of Economics,Sichuan Agricultural University,Chengdu 611130,China)
  • Online:2018-01-01 Published:2018-01-06

摘要:基于2009—2016年全国30个省份的相关统计数据,利用空间面板回归模型考察直接融资与农业现代化水平之间的非线性空间关系。结果发现,短期内,直接融资对农业现代化的发展具有显著的负向区域内和空间溢出效应,区域间溢出效应并不显著;但长期看,则均具有显著的正向区域内、区域间和空间溢出效应。无论短期还是长期,区域内溢出效应大于区域间溢出效应,并且长期的总效应在所有变量中最大。因此,应当扩大直接融资规模并杜绝变更募集资金用途、加强区域间的农业合作并加快资金在区域间的流动。

关键词: 直接融资, 农业现代化, 空间溢出, 空间杜宾模型

Abstract: Based on related statistical data of 30 provinces from 2009 to 2016,Spatial Panel Regression Model is used to examine the nonlinear spatial relationship between direct financing and agricultural modernization.The results show that there is significant spatial spillover effect between them.Direct financing to the development of agricultural modernization has a significant negative regional and total spatial spillover effects,and the spillover effects between regions is not significant in the short term.However,it has positive significance in regional,inter-regional and total spatial spillover effect in the long term.Meanwhile,the regional spillover effect is larger than the inter-regional spillover effect.Additionally,the total effect of the long-term is the largest among all variables.Therefore,we should expand the scale of direct financing,completely eradicate changing the use of raised funds,strengthen inter-regional agricultural cooperation,and speed up the flow of funds between regions.

Key words: direct financing, agricultural modernization, spatial spillover, Spatial Durbin Model

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