Abstract: Under the background of"dual carbon" goal,this paper analyzes the mechanism of resource dependence and economic growth on the rebound of industrial carbon emissions,calculates the rebound effect value of industrial carbon emissions of 31 provinces and cities in China from 2010 to 2019 by using Kaya LMDI carbon emission driver decomposition model,and constructs spatial autoregressive model (SAR),spatial error model (SEM) and spatial Durbin model (SDM) for spatial econometric regression.The results indicate that:(1) the carbon rebound effect of energy resources consumption in China shows a law of decreasing year by year from 2010 to 2019,and has spillover effect in time and space.Seven provinces,including Shanxi,Ningxia and Inner Mongolia,are in the state of high-high (H-H) aggregation of industrial carbon emissions,while 17 provinces,including Beijing,Tianjin and Shanghai,are in the state of low-low (L-L) aggregation of industrial carbon emissions.(2) The effect of resource dependence on the rebound effect of industrial carbon emissions is significantly positive and has a certain spatial spillover effect.(3) Regional economic growth will bring the concentration of technology,capital,manpower and other factors,drive the overall development of the region,and restrain the rebound effect of industrial carbon emissions.(4) The effects of economic growth and resource dependence on the rebound of regional industrial carbon emissions have time-space lag effect and error effect,and the crowding-out effect of regional indirect influence will increase the space direct effect.

Key words: carbon emissions, "dual carbon" goal, resource dependence, economic growth