吉首大学学报(社会科学版)

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乡村旅游发展对粮食安全的影响——基于粮食主产区的门槛面板数据分析

方世敏,戴玉聪   

  1. (湘潭大学 商学院,湖南 湘潭 411105)
  • 出版日期:2020-05-01 发布日期:2020-06-18
  • 作者简介:方世敏,男,博士,湘潭大学商学院教授。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金一般项目(17BJY151)

The Impact of Rural Tourism Development on Food Security—Analysis of Threshold Panel Data Based on Main Grain Producing Areas

FANG Shimin,DAI Yucong   

  1. (Business School,Xiangtan University,Xiangtan 411105,Hunan China)
  • Online:2020-05-01 Published:2020-06-18

摘要:粮食主产区保障国家粮食安全是其经济社会发展的首要责任,现实中乡村旅游开发对粮食主产区粮食安全产生一定影响。根据旅游业挤出效应理论,基于粮食主产区10年的面板数据,借助Hansen门槛效应模型,对乡村旅游作用于粮食安全的非线性影响展开分析发现:乡村旅游发展水平较低时,促进粮食安全发展;乡村旅游发展水平较高时,对粮食安全水平有负向影响;粮食主产区各省份处于旅游发展的不同阶段,乡村旅游对粮食安全的影响存在差异。为了保障国家粮食安全,相关省份在区域发展规划与政策制定时应正视乡村旅游对粮食安全水平影响的非线性作用,合理调控乡村旅游的发展规模与速度,以促进区域乡村旅游与粮食安全的协调发展与利益最大化。

关键词: 粮食主产区, 乡村旅游, 粮食安全, 门槛面板, 非线性影响

Abstract: It is the primary responsibility of the economic and social development of the main grain production areas to ensure the national foodsecurity.In reality,the development of rural tourism has certain impact on the food security of the main grain producing areas.According to the theory of tourism crowding out effect,based on the panel data of the main grain producing areas in the past 10 years,and with the help of Hansen threshold effect model,this paper analyzes the nonlinear impact of rural tourism on food security.It is found that when the development level of rural tourism is low,it promotes the development of food security;when the development level of rural tourism is high,it has a negative impact on the level of food security;the provinces in the main grain producing areas are in different stages of tourism development,and the impact of rural tourism on food security is different.In order to ensure the national food security,the relevant provinces should face up to the non-linear effect of rural tourism on the level of food security in regional development planning and policy-making,and reasonably regulate the development scale and speed of rural tourism,so as to promote the coordinated development and maximization of interests of regional rural tourism and foodsecurity.

Key words: main grain producing areas, rural tourism, food security, threshold panel, nonlinear impact

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